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Crown Green Handicap

Karen Dunn

Team: Little Sutton BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

781

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

14

Matches Played

6

Wins

8

Losses

43%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

11.3

Avg Loss Margin

5-2

Home Record

1-6

Away Record

18%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
14 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/13/2026

Only 14 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 153/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 14 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

12 May9 Jun2 Jul14 Jul21 Jul30 Jul13 Aug-13712

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.05
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.3
score-0.54→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
768
score-0.42→contribution-0.06
Weighted Score-0.252
Sample Size Confidence
18%(14/33 matches)
Rating899 → shrunk 982→ adjusted 782
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)778
Recency Blend19% (14 recent matches)
Final Rating781
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W8L14 matches·42.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Little Sutton B2026Division C146842.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/13/2026Val LimbA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
8/6/2026Paul HellerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/30/2026Neil LangleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/23/2026Derek BramellA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/21/2026George LowdenH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/16/2026John MortonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/14/2026Debs WhiteH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026Martin CritchleyH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/2/2026Lucas FarragherA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
6/16/2026Paula JenningsH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
6/9/2026Pat McloughlinH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026George LowdenA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
5/12/2026Tony LakeH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/5/2026Rob FearonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

4losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLLW
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
LLLLWLWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
George Lowden11250%7/21/2026
Val Limb0110%8/13/2026
Paul Heller0110%8/6/2026
Neil Langley0110%7/30/2026
Derek Bramell0110%7/23/2026
John Morton0110%7/16/2026
Debs White101100%7/14/2026
Martin Critchley0110%7/7/2026
Lucas Farragher101100%7/2/2026
Paula Jennings101100%6/16/2026
Biggest Win
Debs White (+15)7/14/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Martin Critchley (-15)7/7/2026
Best Season
202643% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202643% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
57% → 29%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
76814 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-843% win rate
Division C42.9%
6W·8L·14 played

Debut

May 5, 2026

Latest

Aug 13, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (14 total)

Seasons

2026